Mexico is the third-largest pork importer in the world and traditionally the largest U.S. market for pork exports by volume. Over the past few years, shipments to this important market have faced headwinds. First, retaliatory tariffs related to Section 232 actions disadvantaged U.S. product. Then the coronavirus pandemic and a weak Mexican economy weighed on demand. With retaliatory tariffs on [...]
Report Highlights: In 2022, China’s raw milk production is forecast to reach 36.7 million metric tons, a 3 percent increase, as producers make operational investments that should return more milk, per cow milk production improves, and additional facilities come online. Whole milk powder beginning stocks and domestic production in 2022 will weigh on imports, which are forecast to decline 6 [...]
India’s marketing year (MY) 2022 (January-December) fluid milk production is forecast higher at 203.5 million metric tons (MMT) based on a relatively normal June-September monsoon season. Anticipating strong prices and modest export demand, butter exports will rise to 15,000 metric tons (MT), 36 percent higher than the revised estimated export figure of 11,000 metric tons (MT) for MY 2021. With [...]
Fluid milk FAS/Tokyo projects that Japan’s fluid milk production in 2022 will increase about 1 percent from 2021 on a greater number of new cows. Despite both rising feed prices, which began in late 2020 and continued through summer 2021, and stagnating prices on milk for further processing, FAS/Tokyo anticipates that the support of compensation programs will limit the impact [...]
In 2022, milk production in the European Union 27 Member States (EU27) is forecast to increase by 0.2 percent to 150.45 million metric tons (MMT) compared to 2021. As EU liquid milk consumption is flat, most additional milk goes to processing. Cheese production is the main use and EU27 cheese production is forecast to increase to 10.4 MMT, which is [...]
The Philippines imports 99 percent of its dairy requirement as domestic production cannot meet the annual demand of 2.9 million metric tons (MT) liquid milk equivalent, according to the National Dairy Authority (NDA). Following declines in demand in 2021 due to the pandemic, dairy imports are expected to recover in 2022 as the economy reopens, most of the population is [...]
For the past 12 years, drought limited pasture for grazing and forced down milk production. In MY2021 milk receipts remained flat at 1,171 million liters. However, domestic demand for dairy products remains strong, pushing up total imports 35.8 percent in MY2021. The United States is the main supplier of dairy products to Chile with a 21.6 percent market share in [...]
The United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union on December 31, 2020, and the Covid pandemic have both presented challenges and opportunities for the livestock sector. These include changes to consumption demand, both domestically and in export markets, and on supply, through developments in logistics, labor, and terms of trade. In CY2022, more stability in the sector is forecast, but [...]
After two decades of growth, EU chicken meat production is expected to decline by almost 1 percent in 2021 due to HPAI outbreaks and the ongoing impact of COVID-19. For most of Europe, economic challenges even post-COVID will continue to favor cheap protein sources. Consumer preference for chicken meat could fuel some growth in chicken meat demand and production in [...]
Post forecasts production to increase slightly in 2022, despite Angola’s challenges to expansion, including to a lack of animal feed, veterinary medicine, chicken feedlots, general infrastructure, and the prohibition of genetically engineered (GE) feed products. In 2020, Angola was the ninth largest importer of U.S. poultry meat by value ($80 million). Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and reduced consumer purchasing [...]
Philippine pork production in 2022 is forecast to stay flat at 1.0 million metric tons (MT), as some areas continue to face African Swine Fever outbreaks while others expand operations. Pork imports are expected to drop by 25 percent to 375,000 MT in 2022 compared to the raised 2021 estimate of 500,000 MT, following the scheduled expiration of greater market [...]
Post forecasts record Uruguayan beef exports at 490,000 tons carcass weight equivalent as a result of abundant beef supplies, strong foreign demand, and export limitations in several important competitors. Beef domestic consumption for 2022 is forecast at 160,000 tons, a recovery from 2021 as the country begins to return to normal as a majority of the population has been fully [...]
Post forecasts that the cattle herd will grow four percent in 2021 and 2022, while beef production is forecast to decrease six percent in 2021, reaching 9.5 million tons Carcass Weight Equivalent (CWE), but increase two percent in 2022. Post forecasts beef consumption for 2021 at 6.93 million tons (CWE), which is an eight percent decrease from 2020, mainly due [...]
Low prices and disease outbreaks in 2021 led to significant slaughter and delayed restocking. Pork production in 2022 will decline by 14 percent as fewer hogs come to market and government policies designed to limit price fluctuations inadvertently undermine expansion. Pork imports will rise to 5.1 million MT as consumer demand for pork exceeds domestic production. Cattle and beef production [...]
FAS/Tokyo projects cattle stocks to increase in 2022 as MAFF support programs continue to incentivize farmers to expand production. Due to a large cross breed cattle population and a growing wagyu population, FAS/Tokyo projects 2022 slaughter numbers to be up slightly and for beef production to be around 485,000 MT. In 2021, high swine beginning stocks will push slaughter speeds [...]
Beef consumption has increased in Thailand over the last few years, and local cattle production will not be able to meet the increase in demand. The majority of imported beef comes from Australia and New Zealand due to lower prices through free trade agreements with the United States being the fourth largest supplier of beef products to Thailand.
Post forecasts beef production to grow to 2.19 million metric tons (MMT) carcass weight equivalent (CWE) in 2022, up 3.3 percent from 2021. The main drivers are solid exports, chiefly to the United States, and a recovery in domestic demand. Post also forecasts pork production to reach a record at nearly 1.54 MMT CWE in 2022, up 3.0 percent from [...]
As countries roll back COVID-19 restrictions, foreign market demand for beef is becoming a bright spot for U.S. producers. With record U.S. beef production forecast this year, U.S. beef exports are forecast to strengthen their position in the global marketplace. Meanwhile, lower production in Australia and tighter exportable supplies from Argentina are expected to limit the global availability of beef. [...]
This quarterly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in livestock and poultry. Covers beef and veal, cattle, pork, swine, broiler meat and turkey meat.
On Thursday, May 20, 2021 the government of Argentina imposed a 30-day ban on beef exports. The measure is intended to lower domestic beef prices by temporarily increasing the domestic supply. The implementing resolution exempts exports to markets where Argentina has negotiated quotas. In 2020, Argentina exported 652,177 tons of beef with about 53,000 being exported to the US and [...]
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